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Oracle Moves to Raise $20 Billion in Stock and Bonds as Investors Balk at AI Debt Load
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Oracle Moves to Raise $20 Billion in Stock and Bonds as Investors Balk at AI Debt Load

Oracle has asked investors to help fund the next stage of its artificial intelligence expansion, filing plans to sell $20 billion of new stock and bonds. The announcement had been signalled the previous week, yet the shares still fell sharply, underlining how nervous the market has become about the debt that builds AI infrastructure.

What Oracle is selling

The company will sell $10 billion in common stock and $10 billion in senior notes, according to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes, including capital expenditure, debt repayment and future investments.

The equity portion will increase the number of shares in circulation. That would lift the share count to roughly 3.1 billion and dilute existing holders by about 2.5% at last Friday’s price.

A sharp market reaction

Oracle shares tumbled 8.8% on Monday even though the plan had been outlined at an investor day the week before. Some reports gave smaller intraday declines, but all pointed in the same direction. Analysts noted that the filing matched what had been previewed, which suggests the drop reflected broader concern about Oracle’s debt load and AI spending rather than any new surprise.

The stock has already suffered. Shares have fallen 33% in 2026 and 50% over the past 12 months as investors have grown concerned about the debt required to finance AI infrastructure.

Why the balance sheet matters

Oracle’s expansion has stretched its finances. The company carried $125.34 billion in debt as of August 31, much of it in senior notes, and S&P cut its credit rating to BBB- in July, one level above high yield. A lower rating raises borrowing costs and narrows the group of investors willing to hold the debt.

The company is trying to reassure investors that the spending is temporary. It reiterated that capital expenditure should peak this fiscal year and the next, and said it does not plan to raise more than $20 billion in additional financing for AI through fiscal 2030.

The growth promise

Oracle’s pitch rests on a dramatic increase in revenue. At its investor day, it forecast more than $225 billion in revenue for fiscal 2030, up from $67.36 billion in fiscal 2026. It also set a target of adjusted earnings above $21 per share by that year. Reaching those numbers would require its cloud business to grow several times over in just a few years.

To get there, Oracle is not relying solely on public markets. It plans to use vendor financing, customer-provided hardware and customer prepayments to cover part of the build-out. Those arrangements spread the risk, though they also tie Oracle’s results more closely to a small number of very large customers.

A wider test for AI funding

Oracle is not alone. Across the technology sector, companies are spending record sums on data centres, chips and power, and many are now turning to bond and equity markets as internal cash flow falls short. Last week, major cloud providers reported weak free cash flow, which helped trigger a broad selloff in technology stocks. One market report said the Nasdaq faced a $2 trillion wipeout in October as AI spending fears deepened.

Investors are asking a basic question: will the returns arrive in time to justify the borrowing? Oracle’s decision to issue shares at a time when its stock is weak suggests management believes the opportunity cannot wait. Critics respond that funding growth with debt and discounted equity leaves less room for error if demand slows or equipment becomes obsolete faster than expected.

What happens next

The bond sale will reveal how much appetite exists for Oracle’s debt at current prices, and the equity pricing will show the discount investors demand. Credit analysts will watch whether rating agencies change their view. A further downgrade to junk status would be costly and could force some funds to sell.

For now, Oracle has secured a large pool of capital to keep building. The harder test lies ahead: converting that investment into profit before the market’s patience runs out.

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